Wednesday, June 4, 2008

2-1/2 speeches

I watched 2-1/2 political speeches last night. Hillary was Hillary. She’s gotten better from the podium, but what she had to say couldn’t have made anyone happy except a minority of the people who voted for her. And Barack was Barack. He had 20,000 people under a big dome in Minneapolis, and he knows how to fire them up. He didn’t start until around 10:30, and listening was a little like eating a big snack of empty calories late at night. When it’s all over and you ask yourself what he said, the answer isn’t really very substantive.

But it was John McCain speech that disappointed the most. The substance and specifics were there, and he certainly made it clear that he was no fan of George Bush’s policies on the war, disaster relief, fiscal policy, energy policy, international relations, and several other fronts.

But it was a badly delivered speech, poorly staged and poorly conceived. It used to be that whatever else was true, the Republicans could stage a hell of an event, with no detail too small to obsess over. But this was held in a small town near New Orleans in what looked like a high school gym. When the crowd of maybe a couple hundred cheered or booed the echoes were reminiscent of a homecoming pep rally.

Worse, the rhetorical theme he kept returning to was sighting something Obama said or did, that he would never do or say, and punctuating the point with the line, “that’s not change we can believe in,” a counter to Obama’s “change we can believe in” slogan. McCain is also now using the slogan, “A Leader We Can Believe In.”

Questionable grammar aside, it makes no sense to run a campaign that plays off your opponents themes, especially when your opponent is likely to outspend you more than 2 to 1. There’s a long way to go, but the national McCain organization has around 90 employees and Obama has over 700. McCain has raised $96.7 mm and Obama has raised $265.4 mm. These things matter. Republicans have usually had the most professional marketing organization behind them, but this seems very amateurish so far.

In case you’re thinking he can make up the difference with so-called free media, the reason I called this post “2-1/2 speeches” is that CNN broke in half way into the McCain speech last night for a “major, major projection” that Obama was going to get the nomination. Wow. There’s some breaking news for you.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

That witch won't leave the stage. The primaries are over, but she's still draging this contest all the way to Denver with her not-so-subtle hint of make me your running mate or else (I'll tie you up in so many knots you'll have zero time to battle McCain.)

Obama's speech was exactly what you want at a victory rally - rah, rah, rah. He couldn't deliver substance (though he rarely does!)over the din of screaming hysterical voters.

McCain just looked and sounded old and tired -- sorry!!

Turn off your TV's -- this is gonna be an awful summer!!!

Anonymous said...

She (or perhaps her supporters) will never go away. All those women who vow to Vote McCain had better think about the Supreme Court Justices who will be appointed in the next four years, about their reproduction rights that will be 'adjusted', about the further erosion of their civil rights under the so-called patriot act. If Obama loses it will be as much their fault as Ralph Nader and his supporters are responsible for the lucky sperm.

Anonymous said...

If he takes her on as VP I might just join the militant fems and sit out the race. I don't care how smart she is, I don't trust his luck in living out a full term. Less for the crackers out there but more for the dragon lady who is one opportunity away from suffocating him with a pillow from reestablishing the Clinton dynasty.

In the meantime, she is one glass of water, or bedtime story, or whatever from going to bed. Why have the Clintons turned out to be the people the far right have always accused them of being?

kgwhit said...

McCain is not a good speaker or a very good debater...he forgets, or doesn't know, facts. After he referred to Al Qaeeda training in Iran with Shia, three times, a number of reporters admitted he makes errors like that all the time. They don't report it because it is just John being John.

This could come back to haunt him during the election because it will make him seem like a very old guy who gets confused...then again W couldn't make a speech or remember much at all about the facts and it got him elected twice. So it probably will not matter.

Anonymous said...

Hankster
I trust you saw the cartoon in last Sunday's NYT.
In summary, Hilary is adressing a crowd and she says (summarizing) she would love to be VP, after all, look what it did for Lyndon Johnson!

Anonymous said...

As Gail Collins said this morning. The only thing hillary didn't say was "when I'm president". Otherwise it was the same speech.

Obama's speech was appropriate for the occasion. Declaring victory is not the time for nuanced policy discussion.

McCain is, well, old. And is looking older and more uncomfortable every time he stands up to speak to a crowd of more than 20 people.

Who will appoint judges, and not just to the supreme court, is an critically imporant issue. Who wants 4-8 more years of Republican judges? There are now large republican appointed majorities on almost every federal circuit in the country -- including the all important DC circuit. This needs to be reversed or we're in for a dangerous assault on our civil rights.

kgwhit said...

McCain not speaking well in front of a crowd of more than 20 should not pose a problem. He can hardly draw that many folks to hear him.